Gwede Mantashe speaks to the media on the open floor of the IEC centre |
Zuma does a victory walkabout at the centre before the results are out, greeting rivals including Bantu Holomisa |
The EFF dazzled in red at the IEC centre |
Terror Lekota eats a hat after the dismal performance of his party, Cope |
Miss Teen SA (yes) rocks up at the IEC centre. |
AFTER THE ELECTIONS: WHAT NOW FOR PARLIAMENT?
The elections results now out, the focus shifts to whether new MPs will add some muscle to parliament, which is perceived to have become increasingly lame and lacklustre in the past decade.
The MPs who
will be make up the National Assembly include 249 ANC members (down from 264,) 89
Democratic Alliance representatives (up from 67) and 25 members from the Economic
Freedom Fighters. A number of other rats and mice parties make up the 400 seats.
Robust, relevant parliament
An
overriding challenge is for MPs to overcome innate structural flaws ‘’which
tend to give the ruling party and its bosses an undue amount of power”, political
analyst Richard Calland writes in his book “The Zuma Years”.
It was
likely that the ANC – which was returned to power with a majority vote for the
fifth time - would conduct itself in pretty much the same manner as before, said
Calland during an interview at the weekend.
However, the
potential for a more robust, relevant parliament was possible now that the main
opposition party, the DA, had increased its share of the vote. “The DA, with
more MPs, can spread themselves more thickly across the various portfolio committees
and have more oversight”.
The impact of
newcomers the EFF, the third biggest party, was unknown. Will they move beyond
a ‘’noisy sound bite approach”, or organise themselves more seriously to
navigate the painstaking terrain of complex parliamentary structures, he asked.
The EFF
would need to take ‘’strategic decisions’’ on which of the many portfolio committees
to focus on. However, a single MP who was committed to the job could make a big
impact. For example, the DA’s David
Maynier fought doggedly for transparency and answers in issues around defence
and national security during the fourth parliament. ‘’He was effective in an oversight role and in
holding ministers to account because he used parliament committees, he dug deep
for information and tabled difficult questions.’’
The key for
an effective, accountable and transparent parliament was whether it could
respond to the important political issues of the day. The pressing issue was
job creation, and an immediate test for the new parliament was how it responded
to the Nkandla saga - unfinished business from the fourth parliament, said Calland.
Business as usual
Political analyst
Steven Friedman predicted it would be business as usual after May 21. “The ANC
is returning with only a few less members. There will be a few more voices with
one key new entrant, the EFF. This will bring more noise from MPs dressed in
red overalls, making things literally and figuratively more colourful.”
However, the
EFF’s lack of experience in parliamentary affairs could limit their
effectiveness. “It is one thing to be on the campaign trail. Parliamentary business
is hard work. It entails asking hard questions and reading documents.’’
Speaking
from the floor of the IEC results centre in Pretoria, Friedman cautioned that
there had been some “alarmist” responses to parliament’s handling of Nkandla,
when the ANC used delaying tactics to stall a parliamentary process established
to scrutinise the R246 million upgrades to President Jacob Zuma’s homestead.
“Any ruling party in a parliamentary system in the world, who is fighting a
corruption scandal will use their majority to kick the ball into touch. This is
not unusual.”
The very
fact that the ANC chose to delay the debate illustrated that parliament was a
powerful, relevant institution, he said.
But at the
end of the day, Friedman said it was unrealistic to expect vigorous oversight
in a system where representatives were not directly elected by voters. ‘’ As
long as you have a system where MPs are dependent on party leadership to be
selected, you will have weak oversight.’’
By far the biggest
challenge for parliament was the gap between formal politics and marginalised
communities. ‘’Politicians, both from the ruling party and the opposition, are good
at making speeches, but they need to listen and acquaint themselves with what
is going on the ground.’’
Missing Mandela era
Leader of the
Freedom Front Plus, Pieter Mulder, does not expect much change. Mulder, among a handful veterans who has been
in parliament since 1994, said that the ANC remained dominant and could still use
their majority vote to ram through legislation, as they did with the Protection
of State Information Bill.
Mulder, who
has been Agriculture Deputy Minister, misses the early days of post-apartheid
South Africa when Nelson Mandela was president. “Mandela would consult parties,
he would compromise and negotiate behind the scenes in the best interests of
South Africa. That atmosphere has now gone. The ANC has become arrogant.’’
“Our
experience is that once in parliament, the ANC gets instructions from Cabinet.
MPs do what cabinet tells them.”
The DA had not helped either, he said, adopting a “tit-for-tat’ style’’ instead
of cooperating with other parties.
But he agreed
with Calland power could lie with individuals. For example, the late Helen
Suzman had demonstrated during the apartheid era that it was possible to make a
difference as a lone opposition MP. However, Mulder felt that experience and
knowledge of parliamentary process was dynamite. “If you don’t have members
with experience, you are wasting your time.’’
Activist parliament
ANC
parliamentary spokesperson Moloto Mothapo brushed aside criticism that
parliament was at risk of losing relevance. The 2009 parliament was ushered in
as an “activist parliament” he said, where all MPs were tasked with playing an
oversight role over the executive “without fear or favour’’. There was always
room for improvement, he acknowledged. “Any MP will be doing a disservice to
his or her constituency if he or she does not take their job seriously”. Parliament
consisted of multiple parties, all of which needed to work together to make the
institution effective, powerful and accountable, he added.
On May 21, 400
MPs will be sworn in to this pillar of democracy with high expectations from
the electorate.
·*An edited version of this article appeared in Rapport on 11 May. http://bit.ly/1ojBgAz